Country-Level Alpha vs PnL Regression Analysis

Overview

This report analyzes the relationship between alpha signals and realized PnL for each country.

Total Countries Analyzed: 13

Average R² (All Data): 0.024

Countries with Positive Slope (All Data): 2 / 13

Average R² (No Outliers): 0.024

Countries with Positive Slope (No Outliers): 0 / 13

Regression Results by Country

Country Slope Intercept Correlation Observations Total PnL Total Alpha
AU -0 17,969 0.002 -0.039 199 $1,988,287 $1,329,858,940
CN -0 133,389 0.014 -0.119 199 $-2,821,200 $12,846,220,962
HK -0 29,532 0.001 -0.032 199 $3,978,545 $1,738,492,790
ID -0 4,091 0.020 -0.140 199 $79,798 $64,682,055
IN -0 2,068 0.002 -0.045 183 $-212,929 $614,580,726
JP -0 94,230 0.029 -0.171 199 $-692,608 $5,758,885,547
KR -0 48,813 0.047 -0.216 73 $-1,776,255 $476,268,630
MY -0 -288 0.071 -0.267 199 $-98,170 $1,375,863
NZ -0 18,257 0.079 -0.281 199 $72,566 $203,362,982
PH 0 36 0.006 0.078 175 $30,027 $8,179,771
SG -0 12,320 0.020 -0.142 199 $188,103 $194,443,278
TH -0 25,928 0.015 -0.124 199 $1,357,774 $805,557,671
TW 0 13,233 0.000 0.004 199 $2,773,049 $1,650,905,612
AU -0 21,721 0.005 -0.069 186 $2,055,519 $1,216,653,172
CN -0 147,166 0.019 -0.137 194 $-497,686 $12,518,681,669
HK -0 27,580 0.002 -0.045 146 $1,508,661 $865,399,793
ID -0 -200 0.012 -0.108 168 $-394,576 $57,038,844
IN -0 4,450 0.017 -0.132 153 $63,003 $436,561,591
JP -0 71,915 0.032 -0.180 187 $-1,408,761 $5,365,983,706
KR -0 43,713 0.049 -0.222 71 $-1,714,442 $458,902,108
MY -0 524 0.032 -0.180 188 $102,969 $-234,880
NZ -0 7,045 0.009 -0.095 177 $453,860 $169,753,734
PH -0 -82 0.047 -0.216 137 $-37,281 $2,937,146
SG -0 9,379 0.028 -0.168 162 $-13,140 $142,084,130
TH -0 10,093 0.002 -0.048 184 $764,024 $699,890,592
TW -0 96,658 0.061 -0.246 142 $1,369,758 $837,273,265

Regression Scatter Plots

Country Regression Scatter Plots

Time Series Analysis

Country Time Series

Regression Results by Country (Outliers Removed)

Country Slope Intercept Correlation Observations Outliers Removed Total PnL Total Alpha
TW -0 96,658 0.061 -0.246 142 57.0 $1,369,758 $837,273,265
KR -0 43,713 0.049 -0.222 71 2.0 $-1,714,442 $458,902,108
PH -0 -82 0.047 -0.216 137 38.0 $-37,281 $2,937,146
JP -0 71,915 0.032 -0.180 187 12.0 $-1,408,761 $5,365,983,706
MY -0 524 0.032 -0.180 188 11.0 $102,969 $-234,880
SG -0 9,379 0.028 -0.168 162 37.0 $-13,140 $142,084,130
CN -0 147,166 0.019 -0.137 194 5.0 $-497,686 $12,518,681,669
IN -0 4,450 0.017 -0.132 153 30.0 $63,003 $436,561,591
ID -0 -200 0.012 -0.108 168 31.0 $-394,576 $57,038,844
NZ -0 7,045 0.009 -0.095 177 22.0 $453,860 $169,753,734
AU -0 21,721 0.005 -0.069 186 13.0 $2,055,519 $1,216,653,172
TH -0 10,093 0.002 -0.048 184 15.0 $764,024 $699,890,592
HK -0 27,580 0.002 -0.045 146 53.0 $1,508,661 $865,399,793

Regression Scatter Plots (Outliers Removed)

Country Regression Scatter Plots No Outliers

Individual Country Reports

Click on any country name in the table above to view detailed analysis including:

Generated: 2025-07-11 10:01:53